Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits
Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits. A Course in Forecasting. RICHARD W. SCHABACKER former Financial Editor of Forbes Magazine and author of Stock Market Theory and Practice and Stock Market Profits.
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Study I TECHNICAL APPROACH TO STOCK TRADING 1
Definition of a Stock Chart · Technical vs. Fundamental Factors · Technical Position
of Market Most Important · Sources for Chart Data · Advantages of Making Your
Own Charts · Which Stocks to Chart and How Many · Method of Constructing
Charts · Price, Volume and Time Scales · Major, Intermediate and Minor Movements
Study II IMPORTANT REVERSAL FORMATIONS 29
Public vs. Insiders · Detecting Professional Operations · Determining Major Turning
Points or Reversals · Volume Signs at Reversals · The One-Day Reversal ·
Comparative Volume at Tops and Bottoms · Price and Volume Must be Considered
Together · The Head and Shoulders Formation · Volume Action on Head and
Shoulders · Importance of Neck-Base Line · Varying Width of Shoulders · The Time
to Act on Head and Shoulders · Ascending and Descending Neck-Base Lines · Flat
Shoulder Variants of Head and Shoulders Formation · Reliability of Head and
Shoulders Formation · Logic of Chart Patterns
Study III IMPORTANT REVERSAL FORMATIONS CONTINUED 65
The Common or Rounding Turn · Volume Action on Rounding Turns · The
Symmetrical Triangle as a Reversal Formation · The Break-away Move from
Triangle Patterns · Volume Action on Break-Outs · Comparative Reliability of Early
and Late Break-Outs · Relation of Price Move to Patterns Size · Wave Movement
Following Apex · The Right-Angle Triangle as Reversal · The Descending Triangle ·
Volume on Break-Out From Descending Triangle · Effect of General Market on
Individual Stocks · Ascending Triangles as Reversals · The Wedge Formation ·
Action Following Up-Turned and Down-Turned Wedges Compared · Strict
Definition Required for Wedge Patterns · Probable Causes for Triangles
Study IV IMPORTANT REVERSAL FORMATIONS CONTINUED 105
The Double Top and Double Bottom · Requirements for Valid Double Reversal
Formations · Multiple Tops and Bottoms · Illustration of a False Double Top ·
Double Tops and Bottoms on Long-Range Charts · “M” and “W” Formations ·
Complex Reversal Formations · Relation to Multiple Formations and Head and
Shoulders · Varieties of Complex Patterns · Volume Indications in Complex
Reversals · The Broadening Top Reversal · Analysis of Broadening Top · Broadening
Top Ending Bull Market · Rally Following Completion of Broadening Top ·
Broadening Formations Which Fail · Possible Explanation for Broadening Top
Study V MINOR REVERSAL FORMATIONS 143
The Inverted Triangle · Differences Between Inverted and Normal Triangle ·
Inverted Right-Angle Triangle · The Diamond Formation · The Rectangle as a
Reversal · Break out of Dormancy · Relative Dormancy in an Active Stock · The
Island Reversal · Strict Requirements for Island Formation · The One-Day Island
Study VI MAJOR CONTINUATION FORMATIONS 177
Logic of the Intermediate Area Patterns · The Symmetrical Triangle as a
Continuation · Volume Action in Continuation Triangles · Right-Angle Triangles as
Continuations · The Ascending Triangle in Up-Trends · The Descending Triangle in
Down-Trends · Inverted Triangles as Continuations · The Rectangle as a
Continuation · Volume Action in Rectangle Continuations · The Flags and Pennants
· Various Flag Aspects and Interpretations · Flags in Up and Down-Trends ·
Relation of Pennant to Wedge Pattern · The Head and Shoulders Continuation
Pattern · Review of Continuation Patterns · Formations Which Change Their
Nature
Study VII MISCELLANEOUS INTERMEDIATE PATTERNS
AND PHENOMENA 219
Patterns with Drooping Bottom · Patterns with Accelerating Peaks · Trading on the
Accelerating Patterns · The Horn Formation · The Inverted Horn · Out-of-Line Price
Movements · Interpretation of Out-of-Line Action · The Zig-Zag Movement ·
Recurrent Patterns of Price Action · Warning Given by Recurring Movements · The
Price Gap – General Description · Classification of Gaps · The Common Gap · The
Break-Away Gap · Interpretation of the Break-Away Gap · Continuation Gaps · The
Exhaustion Gap · The Interpretation of the Exhaustion Gap · Variants of the Island
Formation · Gaps on Ex-Dividend and Ex-Rights Days
Study VIII TREND LINE ACTION 263
Definition of the Trend Line · The Theory of Trend Lines · Practical Uses of Trend
Lines · Methods of Establishing Trend Lines · Practicing on the Chart · Patterns
Appearing Within Trends · Trading on the Primary Trend Line · The Double Trend
Line or Trend Channel · Playing the Major Trend · Relative Profits With and Against
the Major Trend · Trend Lines Signaling Reversals · Horizontal Trading Areas ·
What Constitutes a Significant Break · Volume Action on Breaking of Trend Line ·
Fanning Trend Lines and Flattening Trends · The Throw Back After a Trend is
Broken · Estimating the Extent of Probable Movement by Trend Lines · Logarithmic
vs. Arithmetic Scales
GENERAL REVIEW OF VOLUME: Volume as an Indication of Reversal · Volume Action
at Temporary Halts in Trends · Declining Volume During Patterns Formulation ·
Volume as an Indication of Continuation · Relation of Volume to Price Movement ·
Relation of Volume Action to Basic Trends
THE DOW THEORY: Its Major Tenets · Limitations of Dow Theory in Practical Trading
Study IX SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS 301
Definition of Support and Resistance Levels · Logical Explanation for Reversal
Levels · Reliability of Support and Resistance Levels · Bottoms Become Tops and
Tops Become Bottoms · Value of Weekly Charts in Forecasting · The Volume Factor
in Estimating Future Influence · Practical Application of Support and Resistance
Study to Current Charts · Resistance and Support Levels in Minor Fluctuations ·
Resistances Set Up by Trend Lines · The Cradle Formation · Resistance and Support
Levels Set Up by Head and Shoulders Formation · Support and Resistance Levels
Set Up by Multiple Formations · Support and Resistance Levels Set Up by
Rectangles and Right-Angle Triangles · Support and Resistance Levels Set Up by
Symmetrical Triangles · Support and Resistance at Gaps · Practical Uses of Pattern
Resistance Study · The Longevity of Support and Resistance Levels · 50 and 100 as
Critical Levels · The Half-Way Intermediate Movement Theory · Price Action at
Support or Resistance Levels
Study X MEASURING RULES AND FORMATIONS 333
Use of Support and Resistance Factors in Measuring · Trend Lines as Measuring
Indications · Measuring Implications of Patterns in Bull and Bear Markets ·
Measuring Implications of Head and Shoulders Formation · Measuring
Implications of Triangle · Flags and Pennants as Measuring Patterns · The Half-
Mast Congestion Pattern · Measuring Theories Applied to Gaps · The Single Gap
Measuring Theory · The Multiple Gap Measuring Theory · Dependability of Gap
Theories · The Time Element in Measuring
FALSE MOVES AND SHAKE-OUTS: Definition of False Move and Shake-Out · Triangles
Most Susceptible to False Moves · Volume Action on False Moves · False Moves From
Right-Angle Triangles · False Moves out of Rectangles · False Move vs. Out-of-Line
Movement · False Moves Follow Head and Shoulders Formations · Defense Against
False Moves · Strict Construction of Break-Out Rules · Use of Stop-Loss Orders
Against False Moves · The Bright Side of False Moves · The End Run Price Action
STOP-LOSS ORDERS: The Mechanics of Stop Orders · When to Place Stop Orders ·
Where to Place Stop Orders · The 5% Allowance Rule · Shifting the Stop Order · The
“Two Days Away” Rule · Stop-Loss Orders in Short Selling · Judgment in Placing
Initial Stop · Use of “Mental” Stops · Stop Orders Not Recommended Within
Patterns · Doubling or Switching Stops · Use of Stops to Make New Commitments
Study XI USE OF LONG-TERM CHARTS, AVERAGES AND GROUPS 377
Monthly Charts · Average Charts · Group Charts · Shorter Time Intervals in Charts ·
Hourly Charts · The Ticker Chart · Minor Move Chart · Minor Trend Line Chart ·
Point or Figure Charts
CHARTING BONDS AND COMMODITIES: The Bond Market · Commodity Charts · The
Wheat Market · Formations Appearing on Wheat Charts · The Cotton Market
Study XII TRADING TACTICS 405
Selection of Operating Stocks · Swing Power Studies · Poor Stocks for Charting ·
Necessity for Patience · Limited vs. Market Orders · Advice to the Too Conservative
· Danger of Stubborness · Weighing Risks in Advance · Paper Trading
SUMMARY AND REVIEW: Chart Science a Catalog of Experience · Chart Deception
Engineered by Operators · A Program for the Beginner · Making Up the List ·
Starting the Charts · Studying the Patterns · The Final Test