Trend Trading Set-Ups

CHAPTER 1 Identifying and Qualifying

Trend Probabilities 9

Trend Determination 10

Qualified Trend Failure Probabilities 13

Qualified Trade Failure Probabilities 31

Summary 37

CHAPTER 2 Anchor Zones: The Key to

Timing Trades 41

Anchor Bars and Zones 42

Reconsidering Trade Failures 46

Summary 54

CHAPTER 3 Broader Influences Affecting Stocks 55

Sector Congruence 59

Virtual Industry Groups—Future Direction 72

General Market Congruence 74

Summary 81

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CHAPTER 4 Formulating a Workable

Trading Plan 89

Trend Direction and Strength 90

Time Frames 94

Entry and Exit Timing 95

Trading Size, Scale Trading, Trade Success Probabilities,

and Reward-to-Risk Ratio 100

Evaluating and Acting Upon the Plan 104

Summary 105

CHAPTER 5 The Data behind Trend

Trade Set-Ups 107

The Only Two Types of Trade Set-Ups 108

Trading Breakouts and Retraces 111

Breakouts versus Retrace Trade Probabilities 113

Probabilities for Trade Set-Up Scenarios 122

Summary 133

CHAPTER 6 Sideways Range Trades 135

Trade Set-Up Conditions and Categorizations 136

Trading Sideways Trends 137

Summary 155

CHAPTER 7 Breakout and Retrace

Trade Set-Ups 157

Retrace Trade Set-Ups 158

Breakout Trade Set-Ups 186

Considering Other Trade Set-Ups 199

Trade Set-Up Rationale and Thoughts 201

Summary 205