Using Economic Indicators to Improve Investment Analysis
Using Economic Indicators to Improve Investment Analysis, third edition.
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Successful trading and speculating, profitable investing, proper policymaking, and effective buying require a thorough grasp of the available data. This includes a healthy dose of skepticism for the information in published reports and a constant eye for aberrations in the established trend.
This book explains the relevant details of economic indicators reported by public and private agencies. By the end, you will be able to determine whether the reported data are reliable at face value or need deeper analysis before assessing their role in the current economic environment.
The goal of this book is not to transform you into a full-time economist, but to apprise you of the factors and statistical series that economists monitor in assessing current economic conditions. The reported economic series will have the same meaning whether you are making investment decisions for your household or for your firm. However, the strategy that bond traders take in following the economic statistics is likely to be different from the strategy followed by manufacturing executives or by consumers in their financial investments. In all cases, investors (bond traders, manufacturers, or consumers) or government policymakers must understand the reported economic indicator to make rational decisions. Cycles, Markets, and Participants 1
National Income and Product Accounts
The Consumer Sector
Investment Spending
The Foreign Sector
The Government Sector
Inflation
The Labor Market 175
Other Measures of Production 201
The Federal Reserve System
The Treasury
Making Strategic Investment Decisions
Sources of Information
Economic Indicator Releases by Statistical Agency